{ "story_id": "51a25efdb39993153963ebdf0e739870", "desk": "drm3", "revision": 1, "published_at": "2026-09-05T05:01:08.582Z", "content_hash": "75ebdb32709e9aa54be37ef532ac116d2ee367b4ecec073a4854d3cb67f5231a", "hash_basis": "sha256 over `headline\\ndek\\nprose`, plus `\\n` + the canonical citations JSON when any source is placed, plus `\\n#blog` for blogs", "basis": { "headline": "Gold Prices Surge as Fed Rate Expectations Shift", "dek": "Gold prices rose above $4,450 per ounce as expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts increased.", "prose": "Gold futures contracts rose to approximately $4,526 per ounce, while spot prices returned above $4,450 per ounce. [^1]\n\nThe U.S. economy added 162,000 jobs in August, nearly triple the 53,000 gain economists polled by Dow Jones had forecast, according to the BLS report released Friday. [^2]\n\nOn the Friday before the US Labor Day holiday, the Dow Jones fell 0.51%, the Nasdaq 0.29%, and the S&P 500 0.38% on the New York Stock Exchange after the release of US employment data. [^3]\n\nDonald Trump said on 2026-04-04 that the United States will stop trading with countries with which it runs trade deficits unless the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. [^4]\n\nFed Governor Christopher Waller suggested he would support maintaining interest rates in September if August inflation data shows continued progress toward the 2% target. [^5]\n\nThe probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase in September has fallen from nearly 70% to 48% according to CME FedWatch. [^6]\n\nThe rally in gold prices is primarily driven by a shift in expectations regarding US Federal Reserve interest rates rather than geopolitical tensions. [^7]\n\nBitcoin fell more than 2% to trade near $79,300 within minutes of the release after touching a four-month high of $82,240 earlier Friday. [^8]\n\nFed funds futures traders are now pricing a 58% chance of a hike at the central bank's Sept. 15-16 meeting, up from 49.4% the day before, according to the CME FedWatch tool. [^9]\n\nThe unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, matching expectations, and both June and July payrolls were revised higher. [^10]\n\nAccording to the CME FedWatch tool, the market now bets on a US Federal Reserve interest rate hike as soon as the central bank's next meeting in mid-September, though expectations were divided the day before the report. [^11]\n\nMarket participants interpreted the employment report as a signal for the US Federal Reserve to focus on fighting inflation, one of its two mandates alongside strengthening the labor market. 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70% to 48% according to CME FedWatch.\",\"source\":\"Nezavisne novine\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-03T17:58:56.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"Nezavisne novine\"]},{\"statement\":\"The rally in gold prices is primarily driven by a shift in expectations regarding US Federal Reserve interest rates rather than geopolitical tensions.\",\"source\":\"Nezavisne novine\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-03T17:58:56.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"Nezavisne novine\"]},{\"statement\":\"Bitcoin fell more than 2% to trade near $79,300 within minutes of the release after touching a four-month high of $82,240 earlier Friday.\",\"source\":\"Decrypt\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-04T15:13:28.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"Decrypt\"]},{\"statement\":\"Fed funds futures traders are now pricing a 58% chance of a hike at the central bank's Sept. 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