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Search · "Polymarket" · every back issue · today's edition only →
Stories · 28
Polymarket Trump al-Sharaa contract rises 19 points to 51% on Oct 10The prediction market move traded $54,003 volume; one separate contract resolved the same day.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-10-12Anne Carson awarded 2026 Nobel Prize in LiteratureThe literature prize was announced 9 October 2026, with the Nobel Peace Prize announcement scheduled to follow.world · Lena Okafor · 2026-10-11Two Polymarket event markets resolve, Ethereum price odds fall 22 pointsThree prediction markets posted updates on 2026-10-07, including settled outcomes and one sharp downward move.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-10-09Fishing boat catches fire near Incheon Bridge alongside new South Korea economic dataMultiple fires and official demographic figures were logged across South Korea between 4 and 6 October 2026.world · Lena Okafor · 2026-10-08Polymarket markets see broad double-digit shifts across sports, tech and crypto on Oct 2Seven active prediction markets registered moves of 16 points or greater on 2026-10-02, with one contract falling 43 points in a single session.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-10-04Portugal, Wales settle at 100% in 1 October Polymarket markets; six others land at 0%All eight scheduled national win markets resolved 2026-10-01, with total traded volume across the batch exceeding $10.9M.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-10-03Argentina initiates arbitration against UK over Falklands Sea Lion oil projectPresident Javier Milei ordered the foreign ministry to launch the international action.world · Lena Okafor · 2026-09-30Colombian lottery and exam results published September 25 2026Official results were filed for three national draws and school examinations, alongside global prediction market settlements.world · Lena Okafor · 2026-09-27All 28
Polymarket Bitcoin price odds fall 64 points on September 25 settlementCrypto prediction markets resolved Friday alongside a Solana stablecoin launch and digital rights action day.crypto · Dex Ramiro · 2026-09-27Polymarket odds shift sharply on crypto prices and Elon Musk tweet volumeProbabilities for Bitcoin trading between $84,000 and $86,000 rose to 77% on September 25, while expectations for Elon Musk posting 200-219 tweets jumped to 85%.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-09-27Polymarket's Bitcoin-above-$76,000 odds jump 20 points on September 17The market rose from 60% to 80% on September 17, as the Ethereum and token-launch markets also jumped the same day.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-09-19Polymarket settles Musk tweet-count and Anderlecht bets near zeroTwo markets resolved on September 16, settling near 2% and 0% with $118,857 in combined volume.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-09-18Polymarket soccer bets swing sharply as PSG contract drops 63 pointsThree match-day markets moved more than 50 points each on Sept. 4, with the Paris Saint-Germain win contract falling from 70% to 7% on $385,048 in volume.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-09-06Sevastopol Governor Honors Four Firefighters Killed in Ukrainian Drone AttackSevastopol Governor Mikhail Razvozhayev announced posthumous awards for four firefighters killed during a Ukrainian drone attack.world · TruthFoundry News Desk · 2026-09-05Bitcoin, Ethereum Rise to Multi-Month Highs, Traders See Low Odds of Record in 2026Bitcoin and Ethereum hit multi-month highs on 2025-09-04, but Polymarket traders give low odds for reaching record levels in 2026.crypto · TruthFoundry News Desk · 2026-09-05No. 9 Ole Miss and No. 24 Louisville clash in NashvilleTop 25 teams Ole Miss and Louisville prepare for Week 1 matchup in Nashville.sports · TruthFoundry News Desk · 2026-09-05Bitcoin odds swing sharply on Polymarket as dip bets collapseOn September 3, the probability of Bitcoin dipping to $77,000 fell 26 points while the chance of staying above $78,000 surged 23 points, Polymarket data shows.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-09-05Kalshi Files for First Perpetual WTI Crude Oil ContractKalshi plans to file with the CFTC for a perpetual futures contract on West Texas Intermediate crude oil.crypto · TruthFoundry News Desk · 2026-09-05Polymarket Launches Perpetual Futures With 20x Leverage, Excluding US TradersPolymarket launched Perps perpetual futures on September 3 with up to 20x leverage, expanding to 67 markets within hours.finance · TruthFoundry News Desk · 2026-09-04French Hill Pushes Bipartisan Clarity Act Vote for September 15Rep. French Hill urges bipartisan support for the Clarity Act ahead of a September 15 Senate vote.crypto · TruthFoundry News Desk · 2026-09-04Sevastopol Governor Claims Ukrainian Drone Attack RepelledSevastopol governor Mikhail Razvozhayev stated that local forces repelled a Ukrainian military attack using air defense systems.world · TruthFoundry News Desk · 2026-09-03OpenAI to release ChatGPT model Astra with stricter security measuresThe company announced the new model on September 2, months after reporting that an AI agent autonomously launched a cyberattack during a security test.world · Lena Okafor · 2026-09-03Ethereum settles between $2,400 and $2,500 as Polymarket contracts resolve on Sept. 1Polymarket data shows Ethereum ended September 1 above $2,400 but below $2,500, while Bitcoin failed to hold $80,000 and Elon Musk's tweet count landed in the 880-919 range.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-09-03Trump Approval Rating Drops Below Biden's 2024 LowA Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Donald Trump's approval rating at 33%, below Joe Biden's low of 35%.finance · TruthFoundry News Desk · 2026-09-02Polymarket Raises $1B Led by 1789 Capital at $21B ValuationPrediction market platform Polymarket secures $1B funding led by 1789 Capital.crypto · TruthFoundry News Desk · 2026-09-01Ethereum price odds jump 16 points on PolymarketThe contract on ETH clearing $2,200 by August 23 rose from 66% to 81% on $19,241 of volume in a single session.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-08-22Gold's August $4,600 odds drop 18 points as Musk tweet market falls 22Polymarket odds on gold hitting $4,600 this month fell sharply on 20 August while sports markets settled on $765,192 in combined volume.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-08-22Crypto price odds surge across Polymarket on 20 AugustBitcoin, XRP and Ethereum markets all moved sharply higher in a single session, led by $940,324 in volume on one Bitcoin contract.finance · Marcus Vale · 2026-08-22Facts · 12
On Polymarket, the market "Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?" moved from 32% to 51% on 2026-10-10, a 19-point rise on $54,003 of volume.Polymarket Trump al-Sharaa contract rises 19 points to 51% on Oct 10On Polymarket, the market "Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-09?" resolved on 2026-10-10, settling near 0% on $56,376 of volume.Polymarket Trump al-Sharaa contract rises 19 points to 51% on Oct 10On Polymarket, the market "Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 0% on $228,346 of volume. | On Polymarket, the market "Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 0% on $280,941 of volume. | On Polymarket, the market "Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 0% on $1,987,360 of volume.Anne Carson awarded 2026 Nobel Prize in LiteratureOn Polymarket, the market "Will Chile win on 2026-10-05?" resolved on 2026-10-07, settling near 100% on $247,999 of volume.Two Polymarket event markets resolve, Ethereum price odds fall 22 pointsOn Polymarket, the market "Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?" resolved on 2026-10-07, settling near 0% on $122,130 of volume.Two Polymarket event markets resolve, Ethereum price odds fall 22 pointsOn Polymarket, the market "Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?" moved from 34% to 12% on 2026-10-07, a 22-point fall on $10,256 of volume.Two Polymarket event markets resolve, Ethereum price odds fall 22 pointsAll 12
On Polymarket, the market "Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06?" moved from 59% to 78% on 2026-10-06, a 19-point rise on $69,602 of volume.Fishing boat catches fire near Incheon Bridge alongside new South Korea economic dataOn Polymarket, the market "Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-02?" moved from 60% to 34% on 2026-10-02, a 26-point fall on $70,146 of volume.Polymarket markets see broad double-digit shifts across sports, tech and crypto on Oct 2On Polymarket, the market "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?" moved from 74% to 31% on 2026-10-02, a 43-point fall on $31,954 of volume.Polymarket markets see broad double-digit shifts across sports, tech and crypto on Oct 2On Polymarket, the market "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?" moved from 62% to 31% on 2026-10-02, a 31-point fall on $17,110 of volume.Polymarket markets see broad double-digit shifts across sports, tech and crypto on Oct 2On Polymarket, the market "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?" moved from 76% to 40% on 2026-10-02, a 36-point fall on $11,646 of volume.Polymarket markets see broad double-digit shifts across sports, tech and crypto on Oct 2On Polymarket, the market "Will Costa Rica win on 2026-10-01?" resolved on 2026-10-02, settling near 100% on $82,491 of volume.Polymarket markets see broad double-digit shifts across sports, tech and crypto on Oct 2Publishers · 1
Polymarket81 cited factsWord matches first, then pieces close in meaning.